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2024-12-14 12:33:09
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First of all, I have to say that the market has really taught me a lot these two days. News comes one after another, and good news keeps appearing. I once lost confidence in technology today. And as we all know, these two days are the time for heavy meetings, and the frequent news makes the short-term technical analysis almost ineffective.Second, the market will encounter an obvious pressure point tomorrow. Please look at the chart below, the daily chart of the Shanghai Composite Index. In the picture, I use three color lines to mark the short-term pressure lines respectively.First, in terms of time relationship, tomorrow will be the 13th trading day from the low point to the high point (assuming the high point occurs in the intraday trading tomorrow). 13 is a typical Fibonacci dial number. On the 13th day, it is easy to produce the inflection point. Moreover, we can find that the last downtrend band took 14 trading days to reach the low point. According to the symmetry theory, the current uptrend band will probably take 13~14 trading days to reach the top of the stage.


Therefore, based on the above analysis, I personally think that it is more likely that the Shanghai Composite Index will rise and fall tomorrow. So how will A shares go tomorrow? Please have a look at the hand-drawn forecast chart about tomorrow's trend.Statement of the work: Personal opinion, for reference only.Back to the topic, why do you judge this? Three specific reasons:


From the above picture, you can see three pressure lines: red, blue and black. These three pressure lines basically form a relatively dense resultant pressure zone at the current position. Therefore, it is actually more difficult for the index to attack upwards tomorrow.Statement of the work: Personal opinion, for reference only.First, in terms of time relationship, tomorrow will be the 13th trading day from the low point to the high point (assuming the high point occurs in the intraday trading tomorrow). 13 is a typical Fibonacci dial number. On the 13th day, it is easy to produce the inflection point. Moreover, we can find that the last downtrend band took 14 trading days to reach the low point. According to the symmetry theory, the current uptrend band will probably take 13~14 trading days to reach the top of the stage.

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